Can you believe it's time for the NFL Hall of Fame game?
We're less than a month from the start of college football, and a little more than a month away from the start of the NFL regular season.
And that means one thing: NFL win totals.
I took a look at several teams this season, as there are some intriguing numbers, and interesting money movement.
The ever-popular Dallas Cowboys have been around 9 wins since the lines came out, and the early money poured in on the Over. The status of Ezekiel Elliot leaves questions looming on the team chemistry, so I wouldn't touch that one. I see the market is buying the Indianapolis Colts, at 10 wins, then you hear Andrew Luck is sitting out this week because of an injury and it just makes you wonder with that guy.
The Cincinnati Bengals have seen their moneyline on 6 wins go from -130 on the over, to -130 on the under -130. It makes plenty of sense with AJ Green missing a couple of games, but sheesh, that doesn't seem like a tough number with that team. I won't touch it, nor will I understand why players are fading the New Orleans Saints at 10 wins, but the sharps have been pounding the under.
The Miami Dolphins have the lowest projected win total at 4', and for good reason - they're that bad with a rookie coach and the worst roster in the league. We're already hearing the word "tanking" before the start of the preseason. And Kansas City at 10' wins was sort of a wait-and-see approach because of Tyreek Hill; now it wouldn't shock me to see the over come through.
But the best value in the league, as far as I can see is playing the Oakland Raider under the posted 6 wins.
I refuse to buy in on the Raiders, a team that will travel a total of 32,023 miles in 2019. They're the only team in the league that will travel more than 30,000 miles. Forget for a moment grumpy Jon Gruden admitte last season he gets claustrophobic in airplanes and who suffers from vertigo after periods of extensive traveling. How about his team, and the wear and tear, and lack of sleep, and multiple time zones...
This is a team that will be road weary at home.
They open the season against AFC West rivals Denver and Kansas City. After playing in Oakland in Week 2 on Sept. 15, the Raiders won’t return home until Week 8. They will go a stretch of seven weeks without playing at their home stadium, as they'll play at Minnesota, at Indianapolis, vs. Chicago in London, after a bye week they'll play at Green Bay and then travel to Houston. Just that six-week span away from Oaktown, the Raiders will travel around 21,300 miles.
And over their first seven games, the Raiders will play four playoff teams from last season. The close the season against much more favorable slate, but by the time Nov. 3 rolls around, they might be 0-7.
HBO picked a good year to film their show Hard Knocks in Oakland, rather than waiting for the Raiders to arrive and film their inaugural year in Las Vegas, because that's exactly what the Silver and Black will experience this season... hard knocks.
Play Oakland's win total UNDER.