Winner # 4 of 6
Big 10 Rivalry Lock
Friday, 11/16 - 75 Dime - SMU - Loss
Ray Chadwick's Rating System
Like so many others in this biz, I like to keep it nice and simple.
I'm using the "dime" system.
A 100 Dime play will be a "max" wager and the basis point for whatever is the upper lever of YOUR personal bankroll allocation for a single bet or a single day.
For example, if you have $200 to bet on a single NFL Sunday and I have a 100 Dime release, then I'm telling you with that rating this is a max wager play because I have nothing stronger in my arsenal.
Using the same strategy detailed above, if I had a 50 Dime play, your wager would have been $100, or 50% of your single-day allocation for that NFL Sunday. If I had a 25 Dime release, it would have been $50.
It's all about scale and proportion.
Now will I occasionally "break" my own rating limits, coming with something bigger than a 100 Dime release? Down the road I probably will, IF I'm on a roll and IF I've built up a bankroll where we're playing from profit. And why not? After all, as General Manager Al DeMarco always likes to say, this is gambling and if you're not taking shots why gamble in the first place?
Who is Ray Chadwick?
I'm not one of these guys who spent years hanging out in smoke-filled, Vegas sportsbooks, talking about bad beats and big wins from the 90s with guys old enough to be my grandfather.
I'm your typical millennial who got hooked on sports betting by playing fantasy sports, something I got started doing when I was 13. Football, basketball, baseball, I was hooked. By the time I was 17 I was playing in multiple DFS and annual leagues.
You know as well as I do that to be successful in fantasy sports it's all about research; you can't be a casual player because the sharks eat the guppies. But it didn't take me long to realize that there are no "winners" in fantasy because the odds are stacked against you. And that ultimately led me away from fantasy leagues to sports betting where all my exhaustive, daily research gave me 50-50 betting odds on every game wagered on instead of some whack numbers in fantasy leagues where guys are running sophisticated computer programs and often playing hundreds of games thereby reducing my opportunities to win.
I don't touch fantasy sports now; it's a waste of time. I've been looking for a home to release my daily picks for the first time and I've found it here.
Cannot seem to find a winner right now.
Just need one to get me started.
50 Dime Double-Wager Winner # 4 of 6 - Big 10 Rivalry Lock is going out on Northwestern at Minnesota at noon eastern.
Time for a winner.
Comp play for Saturday on Syracuse plus the points against Notre Dame in this afternoon affair from Yankee Stadium.
You talk about a big game, who could have foreseen how big this Orange-Irish battle would have been before the year started?!!?
Dino Babers has his team playing the best football in years, and they would like nothing better than to knock the undefeated Fighting Irish from the playoff perch they currently reside on. Babers has a proven track record when listed as the underdog, as Syracuse is 9-2 against the spread their last 11 when getting points, so Notre Dame best beware!
Syracuse is fresh off their 4th straight win, and their 3rd straight cover after shredding Louisville 54-23 at the Carrier Dome. Now they make the short trip down to the Bronx to face a Notre Dame team that is currently on a 1-2-1 spread dip over the last 4 wins, as the oddsmakers have made it tough to be a Notre Dame back down the stretch. Not only that, but when favored by more than 7-points, Brian Kelly's team is just 1-6-1 against the spread.
Last week, starting QB Ian Book sat out of Notre Dame's 42-13 win over Florida State with bruised ribs, and former starter Brandon Wimbush engineered that blowout, but remember Syracuse also beat the Seminoles 30-7 earlier this year. Book is expect to be back for today's tilt, and while Our Lady may be able to keep their unbeaten season afloat, but this one could very well come down to a game winning field goal.
I am taking Syracuse plus the points at the Big Ballpark in the Bronx.
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)